Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 10:15 •
AFAS Trainingscomplex
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.69)
1.23 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5% | 29.5% | 68.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
34.2%
0 - 0
27.8%
0 - 2
21.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Ajax W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AZ | 0 | 27.8% | 34.2% | 21.0% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AZ | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 100% |
| Attack | 23% | 32% |
| Defense | 86% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 2.5 | 7 | 3.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AZ | Ajax W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: AZ: DW • Ajax W: WW
League goals
| Metric | AZ | Ajax W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AZ | Ajax W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AZ | Ajax W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | AZ | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AZ | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 6-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AZ | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 36.3% | 63.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ajax W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AZ = 0.05 (league 1.69), Ajax W = 1.23 (league 1.63)
| Ajax W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AZ | 0 | 27.8% | 34.2% | 21.0% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 68.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1