Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:45 •
Sportpark Skoatterwâld
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.88)
0.96 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.8% | 35.6% | 44.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.5%
0 - 1
21.6%
1 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Excelsior W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heerenveen W | 0 | 22.5% | 21.6% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heerenveen W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 17% | 0% |
| Attack | 14% | 5% |
| Defense | 77% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 2.5 | 4 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heerenveen W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Form: Heerenveen W: LD • Excelsior W: LL
League goals
| Metric | Heerenveen W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heerenveen W | Excelsior W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heerenveen W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heerenveen W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heerenveen W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | — | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heerenveen W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 65.3% | 34.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Heerenveen W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Heerenveen W = 0.53 (league 1.88), Excelsior W = 0.96 (league 1.57)
| Excelsior W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heerenveen W | 0 | 22.5% | 21.6% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.8% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 44.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1