Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 10:15 •
WerkTalent Stadion
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.69)
3.69 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5% | 10.1% | 65.5% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.6%
1 - 4
7.0%
0 - 3
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| AZ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ADO Den Haag W | 0 | 0.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ADO Den Haag W | AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 11% | 56% |
| Attack | 10% | 24% |
| Defense | 52% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 3.3 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ADO Den Haag W | AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: ADO Den Haag W: LDL • AZ: DWD
League goals
| Metric | ADO Den Haag W | AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ADO Den Haag W | AZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 100% | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ADO Den Haag W | AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | ADO Den Haag W | AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | ADO Den Haag W | AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 6-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ADO Den Haag W | AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 23% | 77% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 34.8% | 65.2% |
Advice: Winner : AZ
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): ADO Den Haag W = 1.18 (league 1.69), AZ = 3.69 (league 1.63)
| AZ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ADO Den Haag W | 0 | 0.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.5% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 65.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1