Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:45 •
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.88)
5.75 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5% | 2.8% | 44.3% |
best score tips
1 - 5
6.1%
0 - 5
5.8%
1 - 4
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
| PEC Zwolle W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior W | 0 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Excelsior W | PEC Zwolle W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 22% | 28% |
| Defense | 72% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 8 | 2.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
93%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Excelsior W | PEC Zwolle W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
Form: Excelsior W: LLW • PEC Zwolle W: LWL
League goals
| Metric | Excelsior W | PEC Zwolle W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Excelsior W | PEC Zwolle W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Excelsior W | PEC Zwolle W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Excelsior W | PEC Zwolle W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Excelsior W | PEC Zwolle W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | 1-4 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Excelsior W | PEC Zwolle W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 17% | 83% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 35.8% | 64.2% |
Advice: Combo Winner : PEC Zwolle W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Excelsior W = 1.06 (league 1.88), PEC Zwolle W = 5.75 (league 1.57)
| PEC Zwolle W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior W | 0 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.5% · Draw 2.8% · Away win 44.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1