Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 10:15 • AFAS Stadion
Match Finished

AZ

1 - 4
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.69) 1.54 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.1% 25.4% 60.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.3%
0 - 2
14.1%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Feyenoord W
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ 0 11.9% 18.3% 14.1% 7.2% 2.8% 0.9%
1 7.0% 10.8% 8.3% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.1% 3.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZFeyenoord W
Played44
Form67%75%
Attack50%58%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.57 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.83 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Feyenoord W
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%100%50%50%100%75%
Draws100%0%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%25%

Form: AZ: DWDW • Feyenoord W: WLWW

League goals

Metric AZ Feyenoord W
HATHAT
GF total246257
GF avg1.02.01.51.02.51.8
GA total213123
GA avg1.00.50.80.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZFeyenoord W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%75%75%
1.550%25%75%0%
2.525%0%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZFeyenoord W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricAZFeyenoord W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAZFeyenoord W
Wins11
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-32-01-3
Biggest losses0-1
Goals For2323
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricAZFeyenoord W
Form47%53%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h9%91%
Goals33%67%
Total35.7%64.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Feyenoord W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ = 0.59 (league 1.69), Feyenoord W = 1.54 (league 1.63)

Feyenoord W
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ 0 11.9% 18.3% 14.1% 7.2% 2.8% 0.9%
1 7.0% 10.8% 8.3% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.1% 3.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.1% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 60.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1