Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 15:45 •
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Expected Goals
0.27 (league 1.88)
2.55 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5% | 10.7% | 82.2% |
best score tips
0 - 2
19.4%
0 - 3
16.6%
0 - 1
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Utrecht W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior W | 0 | 6.0% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Excelsior W | Utrecht W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 24% | 47% |
| Defense | 47% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Excelsior W | Utrecht W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 67% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| Loses | 100% | 67% | 80% | 100% | 0% | 40% |
Form: Excelsior W: LLWLL • Utrecht W: WLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Excelsior W | Utrecht W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Excelsior W | Utrecht W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Excelsior W | Utrecht W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Excelsior W | Utrecht W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Excelsior W | Utrecht W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Excelsior W | Utrecht W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 13% | 87% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 27.5% | 72.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Utrecht W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Excelsior W = 0.27 (league 1.88), Utrecht W = 2.55 (league 1.57)
| Utrecht W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior W | 0 | 6.0% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.5% · Draw 10.7% · Away win 82.2%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1