Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 13:00 • Sportpark De Toekomst
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.75) 0.62 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.8% 30.2% 18.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
PSV/Eindhoven W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax W 0 15.7% 9.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 12.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.9% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAjax WPSV/Eindhoven W
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack54%58%
Defense96%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ajax W PSV/Eindhoven W
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins100%67%83%75%100%83%
Draws0%33%17%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%25%0%17%

Form: Ajax W: WWDWWW • PSV/Eindhoven W: WWWLWW

League goals

Metric Ajax W PSV/Eindhoven W
HATHAT
GF total136198715
GF avg4.32.03.22.03.52.5
GA total101314
GA avg0.30.00.20.80.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAjax WPSV/Eindhoven W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%17%100%33%
1.567%0%67%17%
2.567%0%33%17%
3.550%0%33%0%
4.533%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAjax WPSV/Eindhoven W
HATHAT
Clean sheets235314
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricAjax WPSV/Eindhoven W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAjax WPSV/Eindhoven W
Wins23
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-54-00-5
Biggest losses——1-3—
Goals For6545
Goals Against1031

Model comparison

MetricAjax WPSV/Eindhoven W
Form52%48%
Att48%52%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Ajax W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ajax W = 1.23 (league 1.75), PSV/Eindhoven W = 0.62 (league 1.68)

PSV/Eindhoven W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ajax W 0 15.7% 9.8% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 12.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.9% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.8% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 18.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1