Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 15:45 •
Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.88)
1.66 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.5% | 23.4% | 64.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.5%
0 - 2
15.4%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| AZ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Utrecht W | 0 | 11.2% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Utrecht W | AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 48% | 24% |
| Defense | 62% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Utrecht W | AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 75% | 50% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 17% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Utrecht W: WLWLDW • AZ: DWDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Utrecht W | AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 10 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Utrecht W | AZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 33% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Utrecht W | AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Utrecht W | AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Utrecht W | AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-4 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Utrecht W | AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or AZ
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Utrecht W = 0.53 (league 1.88), AZ = 1.66 (league 1.57)
| AZ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Utrecht W | 0 | 11.2% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.5% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 64.4%
Vtot 3 , Vtod1