Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 15:45 •
De Herdgang
Expected Goals
4.26 (league 1.88)
0.66 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
best score tips
4 - 0
10.0%
3 - 0
9.4%
5 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Heerenveen W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PSV/Eindhoven W | 0 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | PSV/Eindhoven W | Heerenveen W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 81% | 25% |
| Defense | 69% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | PSV/Eindhoven W | Heerenveen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 75% | 67% | 71% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 25% | 33% | 29% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
Form: PSV/Eindhoven W: WWWLWWL • Heerenveen W: LDLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | PSV/Eindhoven W | Heerenveen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 2.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | PSV/Eindhoven W | Heerenveen W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 43% | 86% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 29% | 14% | 71% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 0% | 57% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 0% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | PSV/Eindhoven W | Heerenveen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | PSV/Eindhoven W | Heerenveen W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | PSV/Eindhoven W | Heerenveen W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | PSV/Eindhoven W | Heerenveen W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 76% | 24% |
| Def | 74% | 26% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 89% | 11% |
| Total | 80.6% | 19.4% |
Advice: Combo Winner : PSV/Eindhoven W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): PSV/Eindhoven W = 4.26 (league 1.88), Heerenveen W = 0.66 (league 1.57)
| Heerenveen W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PSV/Eindhoven W | 0 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.5% · Draw 4.8% · Away win 2.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1