Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 15:45 •
Sportpark Ceintuurbaan
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.91)
2.25 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.9% | 14.2% | 79.2% |
best score tips
0 - 2
19.5%
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 3
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ajax W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PEC Zwolle W | 0 | 7.7% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | PEC Zwolle W | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 87% |
| Attack | 56% | 88% |
| Defense | 69% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | PEC Zwolle W | Ajax W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 50% | 100% | 71% | 100% | 67% | 86% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: PEC Zwolle W: LWLWWWW • Ajax W: WWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | PEC Zwolle W | Ajax W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | PEC Zwolle W | Ajax W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 57% | 86% | 29% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 43% | 71% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 57% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 14% | 43% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | PEC Zwolle W | Ajax W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | PEC Zwolle W | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | PEC Zwolle W | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 6-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | PEC Zwolle W | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 19% | 81% |
| Total | 33.8% | 66.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ajax W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): PEC Zwolle W = 0.31 (league 1.91), Ajax W = 2.25 (league 1.60)
| Ajax W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PEC Zwolle W | 0 | 7.7% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.9% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 79.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1