Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:45 •
Sportcomplex De Toekomst
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.88)
0.80 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3% | 14.6% | 9.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.2%
3 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Utrecht W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ajax W | 0 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ajax W | Utrecht W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 53% |
| Attack | 50% | 40% |
| Defense | 70% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ajax W | Utrecht W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 75% | 0% | 75% | 43% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 67% | 0% | 29% |
Form: Ajax W: WWDWWWWL • Utrecht W: WLWLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Ajax W | Utrecht W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 7 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| GF avg | 3.8 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ajax W | Utrecht W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 38% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 13% | 57% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 13% | 43% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 38% | 13% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ajax W | Utrecht W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ajax W | Utrecht W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ajax W | Utrecht W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-5 | — | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 7-1 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 7 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ajax W | Utrecht W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 68.0% | 32.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Ajax W or draw and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ajax W = 2.63 (league 1.88), Utrecht W = 0.80 (league 1.57)
| Utrecht W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ajax W | 0 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.2% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.3% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 9.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1