Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:45 • Sportpark Robonsbosweg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.88) 1.49 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 25.5% 43.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
PEC Zwolle W
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ 0 6.8% 10.2% 7.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.8% 7.2% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZPEC Zwolle W
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack93%100%
Defense29%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ PEC Zwolle W
HATHAT
Played448549
Wins25%50%38%60%75%67%
Draws50%25%38%0%0%0%
Loses25%25%25%40%25%33%

Form: AZ: DWDWLLDW • PEC Zwolle W: LWLWWWWWL

League goals

Metric AZ PEC Zwolle W
HATHAT
GF total1171815520
GF avg2.81.82.33.01.32.2
GA total76138311
GA avg1.81.51.61.60.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZPEC Zwolle W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%89%67%
1.550%50%44%33%
2.538%25%33%11%
3.513%13%22%11%
4.513%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZPEC Zwolle W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricAZPEC Zwolle W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAZPEC Zwolle W
Wins15
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-11-37-12-3
Biggest losses1-42-01-41-0
Goals For8373
Goals Against4342

Model comparison

MetricAZPEC Zwolle W
Form37%63%
Att48%52%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h64%36%
Goals63%38%
Total46.3%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : AZ or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ = 1.19 (league 1.88), PEC Zwolle W = 1.49 (league 1.57)

PEC Zwolle W
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ 0 6.8% 10.2% 7.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.8% 7.2% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 43.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1