Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:45 •
Sportpark Skoatterwald
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.88)
2.30 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.9% | 18.9% | 61.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 2
8.8%
1 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Utrecht W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heerenveen W | 0 | 3.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heerenveen W | Utrecht W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 29% | 64% |
| Defense | 7% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heerenveen W | Utrecht W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 20% | 22% | 0% | 60% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 11% | 33% | 20% | 25% |
| Loses | 75% | 60% | 67% | 67% | 20% | 38% |
Form: Heerenveen W: LDLLWLLLW • Utrecht W: WLWLDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Heerenveen W | Utrecht W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 18 | 25 | 7 | 13 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heerenveen W | Utrecht W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 78% | 88% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 67% | 50% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 56% | 38% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 13% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 22% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heerenveen W | Utrecht W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heerenveen W | Utrecht W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heerenveen W | Utrecht W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | — | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 6-0 | 1-2 | 8-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heerenveen W | Utrecht W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 35.7% | 64.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Utrecht W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Heerenveen W = 1.11 (league 1.88), Utrecht W = 2.30 (league 1.57)
| Utrecht W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heerenveen W | 0 | 3.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.9% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 61.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1