Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:45 •
Stadion Woudestein
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.88)
0.54 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2% | 22.1% | 10.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.7%
2 - 0
15.6%
0 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| ADO Den Haag W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior W | 0 | 10.1% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.6% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Excelsior W | ADO Den Haag W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 0% |
| Attack | 33% | 7% |
| Defense | 13% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Excelsior W | ADO Den Haag W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 100% | 60% | 78% | 80% | 100% | 88% |
Form: Excelsior W: LLWLLLLLD • ADO Den Haag W: LDLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Excelsior W | ADO Den Haag W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 11 | 8 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GA avg | 2.8 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Excelsior W | ADO Den Haag W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 25% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 56% | 13% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 44% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Excelsior W | ADO Den Haag W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Excelsior W | ADO Den Haag W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Excelsior W | ADO Den Haag W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-5 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Excelsior W | ADO Den Haag W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 67.7% | 32.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Excelsior W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Excelsior W = 1.76 (league 1.88), ADO Den Haag W = 0.54 (league 1.57)
| ADO Den Haag W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior W | 0 | 10.1% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.6% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 10.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1