Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 15:45 •
Sportcomplex Varkenoord 1
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.88)
0.26 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.5% | 16.0% | 3.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
21.0%
1 - 0
20.5%
3 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Excelsior W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Feyenoord W | 0 | 10.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.5% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.0% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Feyenoord W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 13% |
| Attack | 93% | 43% |
| Defense | 64% | 21% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Feyenoord W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 80% | 60% | 70% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Loses | 20% | 20% | 20% | 80% | 60% | 70% |
Form: Feyenoord W: WLWWWWLWWD • Excelsior W: LLWLLLLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Feyenoord W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Feyenoord W | Excelsior W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 70% | 70% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 70% | 10% | 20% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 10% | 10% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Feyenoord W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Feyenoord W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Feyenoord W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-4 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Feyenoord W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 73.0% | 27.0% |
Advice: Winner : Feyenoord W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Feyenoord W = 2.04 (league 1.88), Excelsior W = 0.26 (league 1.57)
| Excelsior W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Feyenoord W | 0 | 10.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.5% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.0% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.5% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 3.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1