Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 15:45 •
Stadion Woudestein
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.85)
1.85 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.8% | 21.2% | 36.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.1%
2 - 1
7.9%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Heerenveen W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior W | 0 | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Excelsior W | Heerenveen W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 40% |
| Attack | 31% | 46% |
| Defense | 38% | 15% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Excelsior W | Heerenveen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 0% | 17% | 9% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Draws | 20% | 17% | 18% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| Loses | 80% | 67% | 73% | 67% | 60% | 64% |
Excelsior WLLWLLLLLDDL
Heerenveen WLDLLWLLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Excelsior W | Heerenveen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 11 | 18 | 29 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Excelsior W | Heerenveen W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 100% | 82% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 45% | 27% | 73% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 36% | 9% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Excelsior W | Heerenveen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Excelsior W | Heerenveen W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Excelsior W | Heerenveen W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Excelsior W | Heerenveen W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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