Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 15:30 •
Stadion Galgenwaard
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.84)
0.87 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.5% | 29.6% | 26.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Excelsior W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Utrecht W | 0 | 12.5% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Utrecht W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 0% |
| Attack | 37% | 16% |
| Defense | 58% | 16% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Utrecht W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 14% | 63% | 40% | 0% | 14% | 7% |
| Draws | 29% | 13% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Loses | 57% | 25% | 40% | 88% | 71% | 80% |
Form: Utrecht W: WLWLDWDLWDLWLWL • Excelsior W: LLWLLLLLDDLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Utrecht W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 17 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 14 | 17 | 31 | 24 | 12 | 36 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Utrecht W | Excelsior W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 87% | 60% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 60% | 20% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 27% | 7% | 47% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 7% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 7% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Utrecht W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Utrecht W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Utrecht W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-5 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 8-0 | 0-6 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 8 | 6 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Utrecht W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 69.8% | 30.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Utrecht W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Utrecht W = 1.20 (league 1.84), Excelsior W = 0.87 (league 1.60)
| Excelsior W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Utrecht W | 0 | 12.5% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 26.7%
vtt 2 , vtd1