Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 11:15 •
Stadion Galgenwaard
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.84)
2.24 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.6% | 19.2% | 61.4% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ajax W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Utrecht W | 0 | 3.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Utrecht W | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 43% | 48% |
| Defense | 62% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Utrecht W | Ajax W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 17% | 63% | 43% | 75% | 50% | 64% |
| Draws | 33% | 13% | 21% | 13% | 33% | 21% |
| Loses | 50% | 25% | 36% | 13% | 17% | 14% |
Form: Utrecht W: WLWLDWDLWDLWLW • Ajax W: WWDWWWWLWWDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Utrecht W | Ajax W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 17 | 26 | 29 | 11 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 2.9 |
| GA total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Utrecht W | Ajax W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 86% | 86% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 57% | 57% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 29% | 50% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 7% | 36% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 7% | 29% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Utrecht W | Ajax W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Utrecht W | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Utrecht W | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-5 | 8-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 8-0 | 1-2 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Utrecht W | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 15% | 85% |
| Total | 30.2% | 69.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ajax W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Utrecht W = 1.06 (league 1.84), Ajax W = 2.24 (league 1.60)
| Ajax W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Utrecht W | 0 | 3.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.6% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 61.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1