Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 17:45 •
Stadion Woudestein
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.84)
3.93 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2% | 5.6% | 71.8% |
best score tips
0 - 3
10.9%
0 - 4
10.7%
0 - 5
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| PSV/Eindhoven W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior W | 0 | 1.1% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Excelsior W | PSV/Eindhoven W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 87% |
| Attack | 25% | 81% |
| Defense | 31% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Excelsior W | PSV/Eindhoven W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 0% | 14% | 7% | 75% | 71% | 73% |
| Draws | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Loses | 86% | 71% | 79% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
Form: Excelsior W: LLWLLLLLDDLLLL • PSV/Eindhoven W: WWWLWWLWWDWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Excelsior W | PSV/Eindhoven W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 17 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 18 | 12 | 30 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 2.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Excelsior W | PSV/Eindhoven W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 100% | 100% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 57% | 73% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 43% | 40% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Excelsior W | PSV/Eindhoven W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Excelsior W | PSV/Eindhoven W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Excelsior W | PSV/Eindhoven W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 6-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Excelsior W | PSV/Eindhoven W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 7% | 93% |
| Att | 24% | 76% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 13% | 87% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 13% | 87% |
| Total | 15.2% | 84.8% |
Advice: Winner : PSV/Eindhoven W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Excelsior W = 0.60 (league 1.84), PSV/Eindhoven W = 3.93 (league 1.59)
| PSV/Eindhoven W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Excelsior W | 0 | 1.1% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.2% · Draw 5.6% · Away win 71.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1