Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 15:45 •
Sportpark Ceintuurbaan
Expected Goals
4.01 (league 1.89)
1.46 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% |
best score tips
4 - 1
6.6%
3 - 1
6.6%
5 - 1
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Heerenveen W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PEC Zwolle W | 0 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | PEC Zwolle W | Heerenveen W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 80% |
| Attack | 29% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 17 | 3.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
80%
FT probability
3.5+
57%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | PEC Zwolle W | Heerenveen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 50% | 71% | 60% | 50% | 29% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 7% |
| Loses | 50% | 29% | 40% | 50% | 57% | 53% |
Form: PEC Zwolle W: LWLWWWWWLWLWWLL • Heerenveen W: LDLLWLLLWLWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | PEC Zwolle W | Heerenveen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 8 | 25 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 12 | 25 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | PEC Zwolle W | Heerenveen W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 67% | 87% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 33% | 40% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 13% | 27% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 7% | 20% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 7% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | PEC Zwolle W | Heerenveen W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | PEC Zwolle W | Heerenveen W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | PEC Zwolle W | Heerenveen W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 2-3 | 5-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | PEC Zwolle W | Heerenveen W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 19% | 81% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 55.7% | 44.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : PEC Zwolle W or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): PEC Zwolle W = 4.01 (league 1.89), Heerenveen W = 1.46 (league 1.54)
| Heerenveen W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PEC Zwolle W | 0 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.8% · Draw 9.9% · Away win 8.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1