Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 14:45 •
WerkTalent Stadion
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.87)
0.96 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.5% | 36.6% | 48.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.0%
0 - 1
25.0%
0 - 2
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Excelsior W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ADO Den Haag W | 0 | 26.0% | 25.0% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ADO Den Haag W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 0% |
| Attack | 50% | 19% |
| Defense | 25% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 17 | 3.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ADO Den Haag W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 13% | 6% |
| Draws | 25% | 13% | 19% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Loses | 75% | 63% | 69% | 88% | 75% | 81% |
Form: ADO Den Haag W: LDLLLLLLDLLLWDLW • Excelsior W: LLWLLLLLDDLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | ADO Den Haag W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 20 | 18 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 38 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ADO Den Haag W | Excelsior W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 100% | 56% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 56% | 19% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 31% | 6% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 19% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ADO Den Haag W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | ADO Den Haag W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | ADO Den Haag W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 6-0 | 0-6 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ADO Den Haag W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 93% | 7% |
| Total | 69.0% | 31.0% |
Advice: Double chance : ADO Den Haag W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): ADO Den Haag W = 0.39 (league 1.87), Excelsior W = 0.96 (league 1.56)
| Excelsior W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ADO Den Haag W | 0 | 26.0% | 25.0% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.5% · Draw 36.6% · Away win 48.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1