Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 10:15 • De Herdgang
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.87) 0.77 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.8% 20.8% 13.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ajax W
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV/Eindhoven W 0 6.6% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 9.9% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSV/Eindhoven WAjax W
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack100%39%
Defense72%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)18 | 3.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSV/Eindhoven W Ajax W
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins78%75%76%78%63%71%
Draws11%13%12%11%25%18%
Loses11%13%12%11%13%12%

Form: PSV/Eindhoven W: WWWLWWLWWDWWDWWWW • Ajax W: WWDWWWWLWWDWLDWWW

League goals

Metric PSV/Eindhoven W Ajax W
HATHAT
GF total252348301646
GF avg2.82.92.83.32.02.7
GA total571251015
GA avg0.60.90.70.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSV/Eindhoven WAjax W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%41%88%41%
1.576%24%59%18%
2.547%6%47%6%
3.529%0%29%6%
4.518%0%24%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSV/Eindhoven WAjax W
HATHAT
Clean sheets64105510
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricPSV/Eindhoven WAjax W
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricPSV/Eindhoven WAjax W
Wins34
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-68-00-5
Biggest losses1-32-11-27-1
Goals For6685
Goals Against3227

Model comparison

MetricPSV/Eindhoven WAjax W
Form57%43%
Att72%28%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : PSV/Eindhoven W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away4.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 10Bet
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): PSV/Eindhoven W = 1.95 (league 1.87), Ajax W = 0.77 (league 1.56)

Ajax W
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV/Eindhoven W 0 6.6% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 9.9% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.8% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 13.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1