Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 14:45 •
Stadion Galgenwaard
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.87)
1.15 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.9% | 30.9% | 45.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.2%
0 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| PEC Zwolle W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Utrecht W | 0 | 14.9% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Utrecht W | PEC Zwolle W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 50% | 17% |
| Defense | 67% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Utrecht W | PEC Zwolle W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 25% | 56% | 41% | 44% | 63% | 53% |
| Draws | 25% | 22% | 24% | 11% | 0% | 6% |
| Loses | 50% | 22% | 35% | 44% | 38% | 41% |
Form: Utrecht W: WLWLDWDLWDLWLWLWD • PEC Zwolle W: LWLWWWWWLWLWWLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Utrecht W | PEC Zwolle W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 18 | 29 | 18 | 8 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 14 | 18 | 32 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Utrecht W | PEC Zwolle W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 82% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 53% | 35% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 24% | 18% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 6% | 12% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 6% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Utrecht W | PEC Zwolle W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Utrecht W | PEC Zwolle W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Utrecht W | PEC Zwolle W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-5 | 7-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 8-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Utrecht W | PEC Zwolle W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Utrecht W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Utrecht W = 0.75 (league 1.87), PEC Zwolle W = 1.15 (league 1.56)
| PEC Zwolle W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Utrecht W | 0 | 14.9% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.9% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 45.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1