Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 15:45 •
Sportpark Heksenwiel Veld 1
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.91)
2.31 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.3% | 16.2% | 72.4% |
best score tips
0 - 2
14.2%
0 - 1
12.3%
0 - 3
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Excelsior W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NAC Breda W | 0 | 5.3% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | NAC Breda W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 20% |
| Attack | 10% | 29% |
| Defense | 10% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 19 | 3.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | NAC Breda W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 67% | 83% | 100% | 67% | 83% |
Form: NAC Breda W: LLLDLL • Excelsior W: LLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | NAC Breda W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GA avg | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | NAC Breda W | Excelsior W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 83% | 33% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 83% | 17% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | NAC Breda W | Excelsior W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | NAC Breda W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | NAC Breda W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 6-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | NAC Breda W | Excelsior W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 24% | 76% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 28.3% | 71.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Excelsior W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): NAC Breda W = 0.62 (league 1.91), Excelsior W = 2.31 (league 1.60)
| Excelsior W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NAC Breda W | 0 | 5.3% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.3% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 72.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1