Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:45 •
Sportcomplex De Toekomst
Expected Goals
11.82 (league 1.87)
0.13 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
best score tips
5 - 0
1.2%
4 - 0
0.5%
3 - 0
0.2%
Score & goals probability table
| NAC Breda W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ajax W | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ajax W | NAC Breda W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 20% |
| Defense | 47% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 19 | 3.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 20 | 4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
68%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ajax W | NAC Breda W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 78% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 11% | 80% | 75% | 78% |
Form: Ajax W: WWDWWWWLW • NAC Breda W: LLLDLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Ajax W | NAC Breda W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 7 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 4.6 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 3.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ajax W | NAC Breda W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 33% | 56% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 11% | 11% | 78% |
| 2.5 | 56% | 11% | 0% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 11% | 0% | 44% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 11% | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ajax W | NAC Breda W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ajax W | NAC Breda W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ajax W | NAC Breda W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-0 | 0-5 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 7-1 | 0-5 | 8-1 |
| Goals For | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ajax W | NAC Breda W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 99% | 1% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 84.0% | 16.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Ajax W and +3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ajax W = 11.82 (league 1.87), NAC Breda W = 0.13 (league 1.57)
| NAC Breda W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ajax W | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.3% · Draw 0.0% · Away win 0.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1