Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 15:45 •
Stadion Galgenwaard
Expected Goals
4.63 (league 1.87)
0.88 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
best score tips
4 - 0
7.7%
5 - 0
7.2%
4 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| NAC Breda W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Utrecht W | 0 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Utrecht W | NAC Breda W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 20% |
| Attack | 44% | 25% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 17 | 3.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
63%
FT probability
BTTS
88%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Utrecht W | NAC Breda W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 0% | 57% | 36% | 29% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 50% | 14% | 27% | 0% | 20% | 8% |
| Loses | 50% | 29% | 36% | 71% | 80% | 75% |
Form: Utrecht W: WLWLDWDLWDL • NAC Breda W: LLLDLLWLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Utrecht W | NAC Breda W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 17 | 26 | 16 | 24 | 40 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 3.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Utrecht W | NAC Breda W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 100% | 67% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 64% | 8% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 27% | 0% | 58% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 0% | 42% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Utrecht W | NAC Breda W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Utrecht W | NAC Breda W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Utrecht W | NAC Breda W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-4 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 8-0 | 0-5 | 8-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Utrecht W | NAC Breda W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 67.2% | 33.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Utrecht W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Utrecht W = 4.63 (league 1.87), NAC Breda W = 0.88 (league 1.56)
| NAC Breda W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Utrecht W | 0 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.9% · Draw 4.7% · Away win 2.4%
vtt 2 , vtd1