Diski Challenge — South-Africa
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 08:00 • Chatsworth Stadium
Not Started

Durban City U23

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Orbit College U23

Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.53) 0.55 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.3% 21.9% 10.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
2 - 0
15.5%
0 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Orbit College U23
0 1 2 3 4 5
Durban City U23 0 9.8% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.4% 9.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.5% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.1% 5.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

Durban City U23 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 36 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Durban City U23 +57.2, Orbit College U23 +1.7.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Durban City U23 Elo 1500 · +57.2
vs
Orbit College U23 Elo 1499.3 · +1.7
Elo gapDurban City U23 +36
Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo2999.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2999.3
Elo home share 55%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Durban City U23 Orbit College U23
Overall Elo15001499.3
Form Elo1521.51507.3
Home / Away Elo1491.41478.8
Attack Elo15901460.4
Defense Elo1496.81524
Last 5 Elo change+57.2+1.7

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Durban City U23 last-5 Elo change: +57.2; Orbit College U23 last-5 Elo change: +1.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDurban City U23Orbit College U23
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack0%0%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Durban City U23 Orbit College U23
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins23%29%26%43%15%30%
Draws46%29%37%21%23%22%
Loses31%43%37%36%62%48%
Durban City U23DLLWDDWDDDDLLDLLWDLDLLLWWWW
Orbit College U23LDDLLLDLLLLWLWWWDWLWWLLLWDD

League goals

Metric Durban City U23 Orbit College U23
HATHAT
GF total22244620727
GF avg1.71.71.71.40.51.0
GA total192140172138
GA avg1.51.51.51.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDurban City U23Orbit College U23
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%81%52%59%
1.541%26%26%41%
2.526%19%15%26%
3.515%15%7%7%
4.57%7%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDurban City U23Orbit College U23
HATHAT
Clean sheets2357411
Failed to score2355813

Penalties

MetricDurban City U23Orbit College U23
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDurban City U23Orbit College U23
Wins13
Draws42
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-00-3
Biggest losses2-55-21-64-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against5564

Model comparison

MetricDurban City U23Orbit College U23
Form71%29%
Att79%21%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total73.5%26.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Durban City U23 vs Orbit College U23