Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Orlando Scarpelli
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.39)
2.43 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2% | 18.4% | 59.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
1 - 1
7.6%
1 - 3
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Marcílio Dias | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Figueirense | 0 | 2.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Figueirense | Marcílio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 100% | 75% |
| Attack | 87% | 100% |
| Defense | 80% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 3.3 | 15 | 3.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
7.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
9.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
67%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Figueirense | Marcílio Dias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Figueirense: WWWW • Marcílio Dias: WLWW
League goals
| Metric | Figueirense | Marcílio Dias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| GF avg | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 3.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Figueirense | Marcílio Dias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 75% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Figueirense | Marcílio Dias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Figueirense | Marcílio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Figueirense | Marcílio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Figueirense | Marcílio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 44.2% | 56.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Marcílio Dias and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Figueirense = 1.26 (league 1.39), Marcílio Dias = 2.43 (league 1.13)
| Marcílio Dias | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Figueirense | 0 | 2.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.2% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 59.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1