Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 20:00 •
Estádio da Montanha
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.45)
0.14 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.4% | 35.5% | 5.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
32.0%
0 - 0
30.8%
2 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Tubarao | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caravaggio | 0 | 30.8% | 4.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 32.0% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Caravaggio | Tubarao |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 17% |
| Attack | 17% | 4% |
| Defense | 83% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
38%
FT probability
2.5+
27%
FT probability
3.5+
19%
FT probability
BTTS
35%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Caravaggio | Tubarao | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Caravaggio: LWWL • Tubarao: DLLD
League goals
| Metric | Caravaggio | Tubarao | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Caravaggio | Tubarao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Caravaggio | Tubarao | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Caravaggio | Tubarao |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Caravaggio | Tubarao |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-4 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Caravaggio | Tubarao |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 70.4% | 29.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Caravaggio or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Caravaggio = 1.04 (league 1.45), Tubarao = 0.14 (league 1.07)
| Tubarao | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caravaggio | 0 | 30.8% | 4.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 32.0% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.4% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 5.0%
Vtot 4 , Vtod1