Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Heriberto Hülse
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.45)
0.49 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.2% | 24.8% | 11.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
15.6%
0 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Caravaggio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Criciuma | 0 | 12.9% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.6% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Criciuma | Caravaggio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 40% |
| Attack | 85% | 31% |
| Defense | 69% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Criciuma | Caravaggio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 67% | 60% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
Form: Criciuma: WWWDD • Caravaggio: LWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Criciuma | Caravaggio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Criciuma | Caravaggio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 40% | 40% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 20% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Criciuma | Caravaggio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Criciuma | Caravaggio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Criciuma | Caravaggio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Criciuma | Caravaggio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 63.7% | 36.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Criciuma or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Criciuma = 1.56 (league 1.45), Caravaggio = 0.49 (league 1.02)
| Caravaggio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Criciuma | 0 | 12.9% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.6% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.2% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 11.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1