Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 23:00 • Arena Condá
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.45) 0.70 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.1% 29.8% 21.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Concórdia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chapecoense-sc 0 14.3% 10.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.5% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChapecoense-scConcórdia
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack19%19%
Defense69%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chapecoense-sc Concórdia
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%33%0%20%
Draws50%67%60%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%20%67%100%80%

Form: Chapecoense-sc: WDDLD • Concórdia: LLWLL

League goals

Metric Chapecoense-sc Concórdia
HATHAT
GF total033213
GF avg0.01.00.60.70.50.6
GA total3254610
GA avg1.50.71.01.33.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChapecoense-scConcórdia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%40%100%
1.50%20%20%60%
2.50%20%0%20%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChapecoense-scConcórdia
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score202213

Penalties

MetricChapecoense-scConcórdia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChapecoense-scConcórdia
Wins11
Draws20
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-12-1
Biggest losses0-30-24-1
Goals For0121
Goals Against3124

Model comparison

MetricChapecoense-scConcórdia
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total53.4%46.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Chapecoense-sc or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ William Hill
Away4.38 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.66 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chapecoense-sc = 1.24 (league 1.45), Concórdia = 0.70 (league 1.07)

Concórdia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chapecoense-sc 0 14.3% 10.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.5% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 21.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1