Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 23:00 • Estádio Genésio Ayres Marchetti
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.45) 0.47 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.5% 22.1% 9.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.2%
2 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Brusque
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Catarina 0 11.1% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.2% 9.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.6% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta CatarinaBrusque
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack75%31%
Defense81%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Catarina Brusque
HATHAT
Played235426
Wins50%100%80%25%0%17%
Draws50%0%20%50%50%50%
Loses0%0%0%25%50%33%

Form: Santa Catarina: WWDWW • Brusque: LDLWDD

League goals

Metric Santa Catarina Brusque
HATHAT
GF total5712516
GF avg2.52.32.41.30.51.0
GA total213426
GA avg1.00.30.61.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta CatarinaBrusque
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%83%67%
1.580%0%17%33%
2.540%0%0%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta CatarinaBrusque
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricSanta CatarinaBrusque
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSanta CatarinaBrusque
Wins21
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-32-0—
Biggest losses——1-22-1
Goals For4321
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricSanta CatarinaBrusque
Form68%32%
Att71%29%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total70.2%29.8%

Advice: Winner : Santa Catarina

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.57 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away1.79 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Santa Catarina = 1.73 (league 1.45), Brusque = 0.47 (league 1.07)

Brusque
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Catarina 0 11.1% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.2% 9.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.6% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.5% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 9.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1