Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz
Expected Goals
2.76 (league 1.45)
0.94 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3% | 14.4% | 10.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
8.8%
3 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Barra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marcílio Dias | 0 | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marcílio Dias | Barra |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 44% |
| Defense | 44% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marcílio Dias | Barra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 67% | 60% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 100% | 80% |
Form: Marcílio Dias: WLWWD • Barra: LLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Marcílio Dias | Barra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 13 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marcílio Dias | Barra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 60% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 40% | 0% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 0% | 0% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 0% | 0% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 40% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marcílio Dias | Barra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marcílio Dias | Barra |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marcílio Dias | Barra |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-6 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-6 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marcílio Dias | Barra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 81% | 19% |
| Def | 74% | 26% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 79% | 21% |
| Total | 77.0% | 23.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Marcílio Dias and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marcílio Dias = 2.76 (league 1.45), Barra = 0.94 (league 1.07)
| Barra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marcílio Dias | 0 | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.3% · Draw 14.4% · Away win 10.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1