Serie C — Brazil
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 19:30 • Estádio Olímpico Horácio Domingos de Sousa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.02) 0.91 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.8% 33.0% 34.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.7%
0 - 1
15.1%
1 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Londrina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Floresta 0 16.7% 15.1% 6.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.4% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.5% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlorestaLondrina
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack25%33%
Defense100%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 04 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Floresta Londrina
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins55%17%35%33%45%39%
Draws36%42%39%58%18%39%
Loses9%42%26%8%36%22%

Form: Floresta: LLDWWDDWLWDWLDDWLLWDDDW • Londrina: WWDDDWDLWWDLWWLLWDLDDDW

League goals

Metric Floresta Londrina
HATHAT
GF total10616161531
GF avg0.90.50.71.31.41.3
GA total51015111122
GA avg0.50.80.70.91.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlorestaLondrina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%48%74%70%
1.517%17%43%17%
2.54%0%13%4%
3.50%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlorestaLondrina
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512257
Failed to score4812246

Penalties

MetricFlorestaLondrina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricFlorestaLondrina
Wins22
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-33-10-4
Biggest losses0-22-00-24-2
Goals For2334
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricFlorestaLondrina
Form60%40%
Att43%57%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h29%71%
Goals0%100%
Total46.3%53.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Floresta or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.81 @ 188Bet
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.43 @ Unibet
No1.70 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Floresta = 0.88 (league 1.02), Londrina = 0.91 (league 0.77)

Londrina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Floresta 0 16.7% 15.1% 6.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.4% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.5% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.8% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 34.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1