Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 20:00 • Estádio Vitorino Gonçalves Dias
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.01) 0.70 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.6% 39.3% 32.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.2%
0 - 1
18.3%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
São Bernardo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Londrina 0 26.2% 18.3% 6.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 11.7% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLondrinaSão Bernardo
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack63%38%
Defense63%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Londrina São Bernardo
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins33%50%42%38%36%38%
Draws58%17%38%38%36%38%
Loses8%33%21%23%27%25%

Form: Londrina: WWDDDWDLWWDLWWLLWDLDDDWW • São Bernardo: DLWDWWLLDWDWWDWWLDLDDDLW

League goals

Metric Londrina São Bernardo
HATHAT
GF total16163215722
GF avg1.31.31.31.20.60.9
GA total11112212618
GA avg0.90.90.90.90.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLondrinaSão Bernardo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%67%67%50%
1.542%17%21%17%
2.513%4%4%8%
3.54%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLondrinaSão Bernardo
HATHAT
Clean sheets2686612
Failed to score246358

Penalties

MetricLondrinaSão Bernardo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLondrinaSão Bernardo
Wins22
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-43-00-2
Biggest losses0-24-20-32-0
Goals For3432
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricLondrinaSão Bernardo
Form60%40%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total60.0%40.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Londrina or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away4.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.45 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.46 @ 188Bet
No1.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Londrina = 0.64 (league 1.01), São Bernardo = 0.70 (league 0.77)

São Bernardo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Londrina 0 26.2% 18.3% 6.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 11.7% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 39.3% · Away win 32.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1