Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 20:00 • Estádio Francisco Stédile
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.02) 0.39 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.6% 33.3% 13.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.8%
0 - 0
22.6%
2 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Floresta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caxias 0 22.6% 8.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.8% 9.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.6% 5.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaxiasFloresta
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack13%13%
Defense63%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caxias Floresta
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins73%31%50%50%17%33%
Draws9%23%17%33%42%38%
Loses18%46%33%17%42%29%

Form: Caxias: WLWWWLLWWWWWLWWWDLLDDDLL • Floresta: LLDWWDDWLWDWLDDWLLWDDDWL

League goals

Metric Caxias Floresta
HATHAT
GF total15122710616
GF avg1.40.91.10.80.50.7
GA total7172461016
GA avg0.61.31.00.50.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaxiasFloresta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%67%46%50%
1.533%29%17%17%
2.513%4%4%0%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaxiasFloresta
HATHAT
Clean sheets5387512
Failed to score3695813

Penalties

MetricCaxiasFloresta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCaxiasFloresta
Wins52
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-32-02-3
Biggest losses0-13-00-22-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricCaxiasFloresta
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Floresta and -2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away4.68 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caxias = 1.10 (league 1.02), Floresta = 0.39 (league 0.77)

Floresta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caxias 0 22.6% 8.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.8% 9.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.6% 5.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.6% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 13.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1