Mineiro - 3
— Brazil
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Municipal Radialista Mário Helênio
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.57)
1.28 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.5% | 26.7% | 36.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Uniao Luziense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tupi | 0 | 7.8% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tupi | Uniao Luziense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 41% | 14% |
| Defense | 73% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tupi | Uniao Luziense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 67% | 60% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
Form: Tupi: DWDDW • Uniao Luziense: LDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Tupi | Uniao Luziense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tupi | Uniao Luziense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tupi | Uniao Luziense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tupi | Uniao Luziense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tupi | Uniao Luziense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tupi | Uniao Luziense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 59.2% | 41.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Tupi or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tupi = 1.28 (league 1.57), Uniao Luziense = 1.28 (league 1.17)
| Uniao Luziense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tupi | 0 | 7.8% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.5% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 36.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1