Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 17:45 • Estádio Mourão Filho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.67 (league 1.07) 1.17 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.6% 5.9% 3.8%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.8%
5 - 1
6.3%
4 - 0
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Petrópolis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paduano 0 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.8% 6.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.4% 6.3% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaduanoPetrópolis
Played22
Form67%50%
Attack63%13%
Defense75%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.51 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 11 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paduano Petrópolis
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%100%0%50%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: Paduano: WD • Petrópolis: LW

League goals

Metric Paduano Petrópolis
HATHAT
GF total505101
GF avg5.00.02.51.00.00.5
GA total202011
GA avg2.00.01.00.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaduanoPetrópolis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%50%50%
1.550%50%0%0%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.550%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaduanoPetrópolis
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricPaduanoPetrópolis
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPaduanoPetrópolis
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-0
Biggest losses1-0
Goals For5010
Goals Against2001

Model comparison

MetricPaduanoPetrópolis
Form57%43%
Att83%17%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals20%80%
Total42.6%57.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Petrópolis

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paduano = 4.67 (league 1.07), Petrópolis = 1.17 (league 0.86)

Petrópolis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paduano 0 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.8% 6.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.4% 6.3% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.6% · Draw 5.9% · Away win 3.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1