Carioca - 2
— Brazil
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 17:45 •
Estádio Nivaldo Pereira
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.07)
0.70 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.3% | 34.5% | 26.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.5%
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Friburguense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Artsul | 0 | 19.5% | 13.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.2% | 12.8% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Artsul | Friburguense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 11% | 33% |
| Attack | 8% | 8% |
| Defense | 77% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
45%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Artsul | Friburguense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
Form: Artsul: DLL • Friburguense: LLW
League goals
| Metric | Artsul | Friburguense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Artsul | Friburguense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Artsul | Friburguense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Artsul | Friburguense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Artsul | Friburguense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Artsul | Friburguense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Friburguense and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Artsul = 0.93 (league 1.07), Friburguense = 0.70 (league 0.86)
| Friburguense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Artsul | 0 | 19.5% | 13.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.2% | 12.8% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 26.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1