Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:45 • Estádio Leônidas da Silva
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 0.88) 0.32 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.2% 14.0% 3.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.2%
1 - 0
16.9%
3 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Duque de Caxias
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bonsucesso 0 7.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.9% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.2% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.3% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBonsucessoDuque de Caxias
Played33
Form56%67%
Attack60%60%
Defense80%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 13 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.32 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bonsucesso Duque de Caxias
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%50%33%100%0%67%
Draws100%50%67%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%33%

Form: Bonsucesso: DWD • Duque de Caxias: WLW

League goals

Metric Bonsucesso Duque de Caxias
HATHAT
GF total033213
GF avg0.01.51.01.01.01.0
GA total011022
GA avg0.00.50.30.02.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBonsucessoDuque de Caxias
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%100%33%
1.533%0%0%33%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBonsucessoDuque de Caxias
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricBonsucessoDuque de Caxias
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBonsucessoDuque de Caxias
Wins11
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-21-0
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For0211
Goals Against0102

Model comparison

MetricBonsucessoDuque de Caxias
Form45%55%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Duque de Caxias and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bonsucesso = 2.28 (league 0.88), Duque de Caxias = 0.32 (league 0.93)

Duque de Caxias
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bonsucesso 0 7.4% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.9% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.2% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.3% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.2% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 3.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1