Carioca - 2
— Brazil
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:45 •
Estádio Antônio Ferreira de Medeiros
Expected Goals
4.67 (league 1.07)
0.05 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
best score tips
4 - 0
17.7%
5 - 0
16.5%
3 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Nova Cidade | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carapebus | 0 | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 17.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 16.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Carapebus | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Attack | 60% | 40% |
| Defense | 100% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
44%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Carapebus | Nova Cidade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Form: Carapebus: WDW • Nova Cidade: LDD
League goals
| Metric | Carapebus | Nova Cidade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Carapebus | Nova Cidade | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Carapebus | Nova Cidade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Carapebus | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Carapebus | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Carapebus | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 62.7% | 37.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Carapebus or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Carapebus = 4.67 (league 1.07), Nova Cidade = 0.05 (league 0.86)
| Nova Cidade | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carapebus | 0 | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 17.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 16.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.3% · Draw 1.1% · Away win 0.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1