Carioca - 2
— Brazil
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:45 •
Estádio AtÃlio Marotti
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.07)
1.98 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.0% | 21.1% | 40.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
7.9%
1 - 2
7.8%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Paduano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Serrano RJ | 0 | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Paduano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 44% |
| Attack | 60% | 100% |
| Defense | 40% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Paduano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Serrano RJ: DWL • Paduano: WDL
League goals
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Paduano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Serrano RJ | Paduano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Paduano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Paduano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Paduano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 5-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Paduano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 47.6% | 52.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Paduano
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Serrano RJ = 1.87 (league 1.07), Paduano = 1.98 (league 0.86)
| Paduano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Serrano RJ | 0 | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.0% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 40.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1