Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Eduardo Guinle
Expected Goals
0.28 (league 0.88)
0.81 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.3% | 41.7% | 46.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
33.5%
0 - 1
27.1%
0 - 2
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Bonsucesso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Friburguense | 0 | 33.5% | 27.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Friburguense | Bonsucesso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 25% | 67% |
| Attack | 10% | 50% |
| Defense | 70% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
20%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Friburguense | Bonsucesso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Friburguense: LLWL • Bonsucesso: DWDW
League goals
| Metric | Friburguense | Bonsucesso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Friburguense | Bonsucesso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 75% | 75% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Friburguense | Bonsucesso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Friburguense | Bonsucesso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Friburguense | Bonsucesso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Friburguense | Bonsucesso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 24% | 76% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 23.3% | 76.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bonsucesso and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Friburguense = 0.28 (league 0.88), Bonsucesso = 0.81 (league 0.93)
| Bonsucesso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Friburguense | 0 | 33.5% | 27.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.3% · Draw 41.7% · Away win 46.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1