Carioca - 2
— Brazil
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:00 •
Centro de Formação de Atletas TROPS
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.07)
0.58 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5% | 45.2% | 31.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
35.0%
0 - 1
20.4%
1 - 0
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Serrano RJ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Niteroiense | 0 | 35.0% | 20.4% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.3% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Niteroiense | Serrano RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 33% |
| Attack | 40% | 40% |
| Defense | 60% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Niteroiense | Serrano RJ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Niteroiense: WDLW • Serrano RJ: DWLL
League goals
| Metric | Niteroiense | Serrano RJ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Niteroiense | Serrano RJ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Niteroiense | Serrano RJ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Niteroiense | Serrano RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Niteroiense | Serrano RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 2-3 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Niteroiense | Serrano RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Niteroiense or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Niteroiense = 0.47 (league 1.07), Serrano RJ = 0.58 (league 0.86)
| Serrano RJ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Niteroiense | 0 | 35.0% | 20.4% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.3% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 45.2% · Away win 31.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1