Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Romário de Souza Faria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.07) 1.75 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.9% 23.5% 55.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 1
11.2%
0 - 2
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Campo Grande
0 1 2 3 4 5
Duque de Caxias 0 6.8% 12.0% 10.5% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9%
1 6.4% 11.2% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.0% 5.2% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDuque de CaxiasCampo Grande
Played44
Form50%50%
Attack30%50%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.85 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 14 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Duque de Caxias Campo Grande
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%0%50%0%50%25%
Draws0%0%0%100%50%75%
Loses0%100%50%0%0%0%

Form: Duque de Caxias: WLWL • Campo Grande: DWDD

League goals

Metric Duque de Caxias Campo Grande
HATHAT
GF total213235
GF avg1.00.50.81.01.51.3
GA total044224
GA avg0.02.01.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDuque de CaxiasCampo Grande
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%100%100%
1.50%50%25%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDuque de CaxiasCampo Grande
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricDuque de CaxiasCampo Grande
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDuque de CaxiasCampo Grande
Wins11
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0——1-2
Biggest losses—2-0——
Goals For1112
Goals Against0211

Model comparison

MetricDuque de CaxiasCampo Grande
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total45.6%54.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Campo Grande and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Duque de Caxias = 0.93 (league 1.07), Campo Grande = 1.75 (league 0.86)

Campo Grande
0 1 2 3 4 5
Duque de Caxias 0 6.8% 12.0% 10.5% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9%
1 6.4% 11.2% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.0% 5.2% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.9% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 55.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1