Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Atílio Marotti
Expected Goals
4.27 (league 0.88)
3.24 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.4% | 12.9% | 19.7% |
best score tips
4 - 3
4.3%
3 - 3
4.0%
4 - 2
4.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Nova Cidade | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Serrano RJ | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 58% | 33% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Nova Cidade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
Form: Serrano RJ: DWLLW • Nova Cidade: LDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Nova Cidade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Serrano RJ | Nova Cidade | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 100% | 40% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Nova Cidade | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Serrano RJ | Nova Cidade |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Serrano RJ and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Serrano RJ = 4.27 (league 0.88), Nova Cidade = 3.24 (league 0.93)
| Nova Cidade | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Serrano RJ | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.4% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 19.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1