Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Leônidas da Silva
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.07) 0.23 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.0% 55.2% 13.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
49.7%
1 - 0
23.2%
0 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Paduano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bonsucesso 0 49.7% 11.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 5.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBonsucessoPaduano
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack50%58%
Defense92%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

44%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bonsucesso Paduano
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%67%60%33%50%40%
Draws50%33%40%0%50%20%
Loses0%0%0%67%0%40%

Form: Bonsucesso: DWDWW • Paduano: WDLWL

League goals

Metric Bonsucesso Paduano
HATHAT
GF total246527
GF avg1.01.31.21.71.01.4
GA total011516
GA avg0.00.30.21.70.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBonsucessoPaduano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%20%40%80%
1.540%0%40%40%
2.50%0%20%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBonsucessoPaduano
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score101213

Penalties

MetricBonsucessoPaduano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBonsucessoPaduano
Wins11
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-25-21-2
Biggest losses——0-2—
Goals For2252
Goals Against0121

Model comparison

MetricBonsucessoPaduano
Form61%39%
Att46%54%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total64.3%35.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bonsucesso or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 10Bet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away4.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ Marathonbet
No1.60 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bonsucesso = 0.47 (league 1.07), Paduano = 0.23 (league 0.86)

Paduano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bonsucesso 0 49.7% 11.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 5.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.0% · Draw 55.2% · Away win 13.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1