Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Eduardo Guinle
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 0.88)
0.23 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.2% | 46.7% | 11.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
40.3%
1 - 0
27.5%
2 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Duque de Caxias | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Friburguense | 0 | 40.3% | 9.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.5% | 6.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Friburguense | Duque de Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 18% | 18% |
| Defense | 64% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
42%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Friburguense | Duque de Caxias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Friburguense: LLWLLD • Duque de Caxias: WLWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Friburguense | Duque de Caxias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Friburguense | Duque de Caxias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 83% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Friburguense | Duque de Caxias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Friburguense | Duque de Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Friburguense | Duque de Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Friburguense | Duque de Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Friburguense or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Friburguense = 0.68 (league 0.88), Duque de Caxias = 0.23 (league 0.93)
| Duque de Caxias | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Friburguense | 0 | 40.3% | 9.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.5% | 6.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.2% · Draw 46.7% · Away win 11.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1