Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Eduardo Guinle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.07) 0.25 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.7% 51.1% 13.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
44.7%
1 - 0
25.0%
0 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Duque de Caxias
0 1 2 3 4 5
Friburguense 0 44.7% 11.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.0% 6.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFriburguenseDuque de Caxias
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack18%18%
Defense64%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

42%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Friburguense Duque de Caxias
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%67%0%33%
Draws0%33%17%33%0%17%
Loses67%67%67%0%100%50%

Form: Friburguense: LLWLLD • Duque de Caxias: WLWLDL

League goals

Metric Friburguense Duque de Caxias
HATHAT
GF total112213
GF avg0.30.30.30.70.30.5
GA total235066
GA avg0.71.00.80.02.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFriburguenseDuque de Caxias
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%83%50%50%
1.50%0%0%50%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFriburguenseDuque de Caxias
HATHAT
Clean sheets101303
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricFriburguenseDuque de Caxias
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFriburguenseDuque de Caxias
Wins11
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—1-0—
Biggest losses0-11-0—2-0
Goals For1111
Goals Against1102

Model comparison

MetricFriburguenseDuque de Caxias
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Friburguense or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Friburguense = 0.56 (league 1.07), Duque de Caxias = 0.25 (league 0.86)

Duque de Caxias
0 1 2 3 4 5
Friburguense 0 44.7% 11.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.0% 6.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.7% · Draw 51.1% · Away win 13.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1