Carioca - 2
— Brazil
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Antônio Ferreira de Medeiros
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.07)
1.97 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.7% | 18.8% | 71.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.2%
0 - 2
17.0%
0 - 3
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Serrano RJ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carapebus | 0 | 8.7% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Carapebus | Serrano RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 18% | 55% |
| Defense | 36% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Carapebus | Serrano RJ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
Form: Carapebus: WDWLLL • Serrano RJ: DWLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Carapebus | Serrano RJ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Carapebus | Serrano RJ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 50% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 50% | 33% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Carapebus | Serrano RJ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Carapebus | Serrano RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Carapebus | Serrano RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Carapebus | Serrano RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 37.0% | 63.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Serrano RJ
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Carapebus = 0.47 (league 1.07), Serrano RJ = 1.97 (league 0.86)
| Serrano RJ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carapebus | 0 | 8.7% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.7% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 71.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1