Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Mourão Filho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.07) 1.98 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.9% 21.7% 53.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Niteroiense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Campo Grande 0 4.1% 8.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.0% 9.8% 9.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.0% 6.0% 5.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
3 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCampo GrandeNiteroiense
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack50%100%
Defense63%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Campo Grande Niteroiense
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%50%29%25%33%29%
Draws100%50%71%0%67%29%
Loses0%0%0%75%0%43%

Form: Campo Grande: DWDDDDW • Niteroiense: WDLWLDL

League goals

Metric Campo Grande Niteroiense
HATHAT
GF total347459
GF avg1.01.01.01.01.71.3
GA total3258412
GA avg1.00.50.72.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCampo GrandeNiteroiense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%71%71%
1.514%0%43%71%
2.50%0%14%29%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCampo GrandeNiteroiense
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricCampo GrandeNiteroiense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCampo GrandeNiteroiense
Wins11
Draws41
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-21-02-3
Biggest losses——1-3—
Goals For1223
Goals Against1132

Model comparison

MetricCampo GrandeNiteroiense
Form64%36%
Att33%67%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total56.3%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Niteroiense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Betano
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away2.62 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.58 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.62 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Campo Grande = 1.21 (league 1.07), Niteroiense = 1.98 (league 0.86)

Niteroiense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Campo Grande 0 4.1% 8.1% 8.0% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.0% 9.8% 9.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.0% 6.0% 5.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
3 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.9% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 53.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1